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Abstract
Background: Snow’s work on the Broad Street map is widely known as a pioneering example of spatial epidemiology. It lacks, however, two significant attributes required in contemporary analyses of disease incidence: population at risk and the progression of the epidemic over time. Despite this has been repeatedly suggested in the literature, no systematic investigation of these two aspects was previously carried out. Using a series of historical documents, this study constructs own data to revisit Snow’s study to examine the mortality rate at each street location and the space-time pattern of the cholera outbreak.
Results: Data on mortality rates and space-time distribution of the victims were collected from various sources and were successfully merged and digitised, thus allowing the production of new map outputs and new interpretation of the 1854 cholera outbreak in London, covering more cases than Snow’s original report and also adding new insights into their space-time distribution. They confirmed that areas in the immediate vicinity of the Broad Street pump indeed suffered from excessively high mortality rates, which has been suspected for the past 160 years but remained unconfirmed. No distinctive pattern was found in the space-time distribution of victims’ locations.
areas in the immediate vicinity of the Broad Street pump indeed suffered from excessively high mortality ratesShiode et al. 2015 · p. 1
Suspected for 160 years from the bars on the map, confirmed only when Shiode and colleagues put a population under each house.
He needed an address for every death.The map and the pump · 12:41
Shiode’s 2015 study does the same thing with better records: a population under every house.
eighteen of these workpeople died of cholera at their own homes, sixteen men and two womenSnow 1855 · p. 29
Two hundred employed; eighteen died at home, sixteen men and two women.
He informed me that there were above seventy workmen employed in the brewerySnow 1855 · p. 29
Above seventy men, two slightly indisposed, none dead.
out of five hundred and thirty-five inmates only five died of choleraSnow 1855 · p. 29
Five hundred and thirty-five people; five died.
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Argued from 1849 that cholera is swallowed, not breathed.
except among the persons who were in the habit of drinking the water of the above-mentioned pump-wellSnow 1855
Disease as a poison in the air, given off by decaying matter.
Attacked on 28 August, three days before the general outburst.
It clearly established the general fact of percolation of fluidCholera Inquiry Committee 1855
Suspected for 160 years from the bars on the map.
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